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Fox News Poll: Americans show little enthusiasm for a Biden-Trump rematch in 2024


After a heated midterm election widely considered both a referendum on President Biden and a test for former President Trump’s 2024 candidacy, the latest Fox News poll finds little support for a 2020 rematch in the upcoming presidential election. .

The survey of registered voters, released Thursday, finds that nearly two-thirds (64%) do not want President Biden to run for office again in 2024, while one-third say they do (33%).

That’s an improvement for Biden from July, when just 27% said they wanted him to run again and 71% didn’t.

The small uptick in support can be attributed to the president strengthening his Democratic base: Just 51% of Democrats said yes to another ticket five months ago, while 63% said yes today. Independents are also slightly more positive toward another Biden run: 14% said yes in July versus 22% today. Eighty-seven percent of Republicans are against another Biden run.

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Trump announced his 2024 White House bid on November 16, and he does slightly better than Biden among overall voters when it comes to entering the 2024 race: 39% say they’re happy Trump is running. present again, while 6 in 10 are not enthusiastic (58%).

Sixty-six percent of Republicans are happy he’s running again, relatively unchanged from July when they were asked if they wanted him to run again (67% said yes). Meanwhile, most Democrats (82%) and independents (66%) are not happy with the announcement.

When it comes to the popularity of both presidents, it’s not pretty: Biden is below water by 13 points (43% favorable vs. 56% unfavorable) while Trump is below 15 (42-57%).

One concern for Trump going into 2024 is his Republican base: only 77% of Republicans have a favorable opinion of him (22% unfavorable). In December 2020, 86% of Republicans viewed Trump favorably.

Biden enjoys 85% popularity among Democrats (15% unfavorable).

“Biden has bolstered his base and the 2024 Democratic nomination now appears to be his,” says Democratic pollster Chris Anderson, who conducts the Fox News poll with Republican pollster Daron Shaw. “On the other hand, Trump’s grip on the basis of him may be waning and giving room for other Republican contenders to gain a foothold against him.”

Other potential 2024 candidates fare no better, with the exception of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.

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Both Vice President Kamala Harris (-16) and former Vice President Mike Pence (-9) are negative on voters.

DeSantis is the only person tested with a positive rating, albeit by only 2 percentage points (39% have a favorable opinion of the Sunshine State governor vs. 37% unfavorable). Still, a quarter (24%) of voters cannot qualify it, including 16% of Republicans.

survey-pourri

Where do voters stand on the parties after a heated midterm election?

We ask voters to rate parties on a scale of 0 to 100, where zero means they feel as cold and negative as possible and 100 means they feel as warm and positive as possible, with 50 serving as a point. means neutral, indicating neither positive nor negative. feeling.

In general, the parties are viewed fairly evenly: each receives an average score of 45 on the 0-100 scale. The Democratic party scores a warm score of 36% (51-100 on the scale) and a cool score of 36%. 45% (0-49 on the scale). For the Republican Party, it’s 36% warm and 44% cold.

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Republicans give their party an average score of 69, while they rate the Democratic Party 20 (a difference of 49 points). Meanwhile, Democrats rate their party at 74, but rate the Republican Party at 25 (a 49-point difference). Independents rate the Republican Party at 37 and the Democratic Party at 41.

“Below the surface, the thermometer scores show the deep partisan divide animating American politics these days. After a long and contentious midterm campaign, voters love neither party right now,” says Shaw. “The poll also shows the deep emotional gap between Republicans and Democrats going the other way. The technical term is ‘affective polarization’ and we see it here in spades.”

Conducted December 9-12, 2022, under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News poll includes interviews with 1,005 registered voters across the country who were randomly selected from a national voter file and spoke to live interviewers on landlines and cell phones. The total sample has a sampling error margin of plus or minus three percentage points.



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